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Assessment of the Potential Occurrence of Dry Period in the Long Term for Pahang State, Malaysia

Ahmad Saifuddin, Othman and Nurul Nadrah Aqilah, Tukimat (2017) Assessment of the Potential Occurrence of Dry Period in the Long Term for Pahang State, Malaysia. In: Malaysian Technical Universities Conference on Engineering and Technology (MUCET 2017), 6-7 December 2017 , Penang, Malaysia. pp. 1-6.. (Unpublished)

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Abstract

The interference of climate circulation and continuous rising of surface temperature every year has caused the atmosphere composition change which gives serious impact to water resource management. Pahang is among of the affected states by El Nino that hit Malaysia in recent years which led to water depletion at several water plants. Based on the current situation, this study focuses on 1) simulate the average rain pattern using statistical downscaling; 2) identify the severity index and dry duration occurrence in the catchment area. Predicting potential changes in the climate events is important to evaluate the level of climate change in the critical region. Therefore, the integration of Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM) and Standard Precipitation Index (SPI) have been conducted to study the potential occurrence of the dry period due to climate change for year 2020s and year 2050s. The results reveal that the dry condition is high during the mid-year. The lowest SPI value is estimated to reach -2.2 which can be classified as extreme. The potential dry period is expected to increase 2.5% and 3.3% in 2020 and 2050, respectively.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Lecture)
Uncontrolled Keywords: climate change; pahang; dry period
Subjects: T Technology > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Faculty/Division: Centre of Excellence: Centre for Earth Resources Research & Management
Faculty of Civil Engineering & Earth Resources
Depositing User: Noorul Farina Arifin
Date Deposited: 19 Dec 2017 04:18
Last Modified: 16 May 2018 02:32
URI: http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/19596
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