Tourism forecasting in Pahang: an application of homestay by using box-jenkins approach

Noratikah, Abu and Megat Muhammad Afif, Megat Muainuddin (2018) Tourism forecasting in Pahang: an application of homestay by using box-jenkins approach. In: Proceedings Book: National Conference for Postgraduate Research (NCON-PGR 2018) , 28-29 August 2018 , Universiti Malaysia Pahang, Gambang, Pahang. pp. 174-179.. ISBN 978-967-22260-5-5

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Abstract

Tourism forecasting can lead to important elements in tourism industry to ensure that each investment by individuals, companies and government was worth it. From economy perspective, homestay is a growing business nowadays and can be an important indicator to the tourism industry. It also generates income revenue to the owner and also surrounding communities. This paper applied Box-Jenkins (ARIMA) method to make analysis and forecast for the number of domestics tourist used homestay in Pahang. This method much accurate for short and long term forecasting with high frequency of data. Results obtained by applying the proposed model and numerical calculation shows that it is effective for forecasting the number of homestay used by domestic’s tourist and the number of homestay used also increase.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Lecture)
Uncontrolled Keywords: forecasting; homestay; ARIMA
Subjects: T Technology > T Technology (General)
Faculty/Division: Faculty of Industrial Sciences And Technology
Depositing User: Pn. Hazlinda Abd Rahman
Date Deposited: 13 Dec 2018 07:14
Last Modified: 24 Jul 2019 03:46
URI: http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/23068
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