Solar irradiance uncertainty management based on Monte Carlo-beta probability density function: Case in Malaysian tropical climate

N., Md. Saad and Muhamad Zahim, Sujod and Mohd Ikhwan, Muhammad Ridzuan and M. F., Abas and M. S., Jadin and Mohd. Shafie, Bakar and Abu Zaharin, Ahmad (2019) Solar irradiance uncertainty management based on Monte Carlo-beta probability density function: Case in Malaysian tropical climate. Bulletin of Electrical Engineering and Informatics, 8 (4). pp. 1135-1143. ISSN 2302-9285. (Published)

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Abstract

In recent years, solar PV power generation has seen a rapid growth due to environmental benefits and zero fuel costs. In Malaysia, due to its location near the equator, makes solar energy the most utilized renewable energy resources. Unlike conventional power generation, solar energy is considered as uncertain generation sources which will cause unstable energy supplied. The uncertainty of solar resource needs to be managed for the planning of the PV system to produce its maximum power. The statistical method is the most prominent to manage and model the solar irradiance uncertainty patterns. Based on one-minute time interval meteorological data taken in Pekan, Pahang, West Malaysia, the Monte Carlo-Beta probability density function (Beta PDF) is performed to model continuous random variable of solar irradiance. The uncertainty studies are needed to optimally plan the photovoltaic system for the development of solar PV technologies in generating electricity and enhance the utilization of renewable energy; especially in tropical climate region.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Beta PDF; Monte Carlo simulation; Photovoltaics system; Renewable energy; Solar irradiance uncertainty; Uncertainty management
Subjects: T Technology > TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
Faculty/Division: Faculty of Electrical & Electronic Engineering
Depositing User: Dr. Mohammad Fadhil Abas
Date Deposited: 05 Oct 2020 04:10
Last Modified: 05 Oct 2020 04:10
URI: http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/29380
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