The Determinant Factors for the Issuance of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) in Malaysia using Machine Learning Framework

Normi Sham Awang, Abu Bakar and Norzariyah, Yahya and Norbik Bashah, Idris and Engku Rabiah Adawiah, Engku Ali and Jasni, Mohamad Zain and Erni Eliana, Khairuddin and Ahmad Firdaus, Zainal Abidin and Murtaj, Sheikh Mohammad Tahsin and Siti Sarah, Maidin (2024) The Determinant Factors for the Issuance of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) in Malaysia using Machine Learning Framework. Journal of Applied Data Sciences, 5 (2). pp. 808-821. ISSN 2723-6471. (Published)

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Abstract

In order to identify the factors influencing the establishment of the CentralBank Digital Currency (CBDC) in Malaysia, this study leverages the machine-learning technique to determine the most critical factors leading to CBDC issuance in Malaysia. The overall CentralBank Digital Currency Project Index (CBDCPI) was selected as a target variable,while two machine learning algorithms, Random Forest and XGBoost were utilized to identify the determining variables. These algorithms were chosen for their ability to handle high-dimensional data and provide feature importance scores, which were crucial in identifying the most significant factors. The models were trained and validated using a rigorous cross-validation process to ensure robustness. The accuracy achieved throughthe Random Forest was 83%, and subsequently, 80% in XGBoost. This study explored a new research frontier by creating two machine-learning models that treated retail and wholesale CBDCPI as target variables. The data used in the process are gathered from various official sources such as the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and the World Bank. The Circulation of Cash, Prevalence of Cryptocurrencies, Effect of CBDC on International Trade, the Search Interest, Financial Development Index, Innovation Value, and Trade Openness are some of the most critical factors determining whether CBDC will be issued in Malaysia. Generally, are identified as important factors determining whether CBDC will be issued in Malaysia. Eventually, the factors identified will be used to develop a framework for the implementation of CBDC in Malaysia.

Item Type: Article
Uncontrolled Keywords: Bank Digital Currency, Machine Learning, Random Forest, XGBoost, Framework
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
Faculty/Division: Faculty of Computing
Depositing User: Miss Amelia Binti Hasan
Date Deposited: 02 Aug 2024 01:18
Last Modified: 02 Aug 2024 01:18
URI: http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/42139
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