Enhancing wind power forecasting accuracy with hybrid deep learning and teaching-learning-based optimization

Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman and Zuriani, Mustaffa (2024) Enhancing wind power forecasting accuracy with hybrid deep learning and teaching-learning-based optimization. Cleaner Energy Systems, 9 (100139). pp. 1-12. ISSN 2772-7831. (In Press / Online First) (In Press / Online First)

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Abstract

Forecasting wind power generation is crucial for ensuring grid security and the competitiveness of the power market. This paper presents an innovative approach that combines deep learning (DL) with Teaching-Learning-Based Optimization (TLBO) to predict wind power output accurately. Using a real dataset spanning diverse weather conditions and turbine specifications collected between January 2018 and March 2020, the study employs 18 features as inputs, including Ambient Temperature, Wind Direction, and Wind Speed, with real power output in kW as the target variable. Metaheuristic algorithms including Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), Barnacles Mating Optimizer (BMO), Biogeography-Based Optimization (BBO), and Firefly Algorithm (FA) are comprehensively compared for model optimization. TLBO-DL consistently provides forecasts that closely align with actual wind power values across instances, substantiated by its low RMSE of 98.7601, indicating effective minimization of errors in wind power forecasting. Comparative analysis with other algorithms reveals that TLBO-DL outperforms PSO-DL (RMSE: 102.6627), BMO-DL (RMSE: 132.4839), BBO-DL (RMSE: 103.8517), and FA-DL (RMSE: 104.7282) in terms of overall forecasting accuracy. The variations in the performance of other algorithms across instances highlight the robustness and effectiveness of TLBO-DL in achieving accurate wind power forecasts. Overall, TLBO-DL emerges as a reliable and superior algorithm for wind power forecasting, consistently providing accurate forecasts across a range of instances.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: Indexed by Scopus
Uncontrolled Keywords: Deep learning; Hybrid algorithm; Metaheuristic algorithm; Wind power forecasting
Subjects: Q Science > QA Mathematics > QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
T Technology > TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
Faculty/Division: Faculty of Computing
Faculty of Electrical and Electronic Engineering Technology
Depositing User: Mrs Norsaini Abdul Samat
Date Deposited: 13 Nov 2024 06:29
Last Modified: 13 Nov 2024 06:29
URI: http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/42920
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