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Longterm rainfall variability and changes in Kuantan river basin

Nur Farisha, Rahaizak (2017) Longterm rainfall variability and changes in Kuantan river basin. Faculty of Civil Engineering and Earth Resources, Universiti Malaysia Pahang.

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Longterm rainfall variability and changes in Kuantan river basin - Table of contents.pdf - Accepted Version

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Longterm rainfall variability and changes in Kuantan river basin - Abstract.pdf - Accepted Version

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Longterm rainfall variability and changes in Kuantan river basin - Chapter 1.pdf - Accepted Version

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Longterm rainfall variability and changes in Kuantan river basin - References.pdf - Accepted Version

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Abstract

This paper assesses the performance of Statistical Downscaling Model (SDSM) as climate agent to generate the climate trend as well as climate future projections of rainfall and temperature in the year 2040-2069 in Kuantan River Basin. In order to be able to validate the historical trend, predictors set that has been derived from National Centre to Environmental Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis information to be utilized for adjustment and approval process and GCMs-factors to create the future climate trend in view of expected increment of GHGs at the local region. In this study, a total of six stations in Kuantan river basin consists of rainfall and temperatures details has been selected to carry out this study. About 4 predictors have been chosen for rainfall analysis and 5 other different predictors are used for temperature. In addition, GCM data is used for future climate projections for selected stations based on three different forcings scenarios, RCP26, RCP45 and RCP85 with their percentage difference based from their historical data. The result shows that for rainfall analysis, the average error is only 11% meanwhile for temperature is less than 1%.

Item Type: Undergraduates Project Papers
Additional Information: Project Paper (Bachelors of Civil Engineering) -- Universiti Malaysia Pahang – 2017, SV: DR. NURUL NADRAH AQILAH BINTI TUKIMAT, NO. CD: 11032
Uncontrolled Keywords: Longterm rainfall; river basin
Subjects: G Geography. Anthropology. Recreation > GB Physical geography
Faculty/Division: Faculty of Civil Engineering & Earth Resources
Depositing User: Mrs. Sufarini Mohd Sudin
Date Deposited: 16 Oct 2018 03:47
Last Modified: 16 Oct 2018 03:47
URI: http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/22240
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