Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine

Ahmed, Marzia and Mohd Herwan, Sulaiman and Hassan, Md Maruf and Rahaman, Md Atikur and Mohammad, Amin (2025) Daily allocation of energy consumption forecasting of a power distribution company using optimized least squares support vector machine. Results in Control and Optimization, 18 (100518). pp. 1-13. ISSN 2666-7207. (Published)

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Abstract

Accurate energy consumption forecasting is critical for efficient power distribution management. This study presents a novel approach for optimal allocation forecasting of energy consumption in a power distribution company, utilizing the Least Squares Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) optimized by novel variants of the Barnacle Mating Optimizer (BMO) such as the new Gooseneck Barnacle Optimizer and Selective Opposition-based constrained BMO. The optimized LSSVM hyper-parameters, specifically the regularization parameter (γ) and the kernel parameter (σ2), were applied to test data to enhance accuracy guided by the Mean Absolute Prediction Error (MAPE), ensuring precise alignment of forecasted values with actual energy consumption data. The results indicate that the novel gooseneck barnacle base-optimized LSSVM provides a robust and reliable solution with accuracy 99.98% for daily energy consumption for allocation forecasting, making it a valuable tool for power distribution companies aiming to optimize their resource allocation and planning processes.

Item Type: Article
Additional Information: Indexed by Scopus
Uncontrolled Keywords: Energy consumption forecasting; Gooseneck barnacle optimizer; Machine learning; Power distribution; Variants of barnacle optimizer
Subjects: T Technology > T Technology (General)
T Technology > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
T Technology > TK Electrical engineering. Electronics Nuclear engineering
Faculty/Division: Faculty of Electrical and Electronic Engineering Technology
Depositing User: Mr Muhamad Firdaus Janih@Jaini
Date Deposited: 13 Feb 2025 08:38
Last Modified: 13 Feb 2025 08:38
URI: http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/43804
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