Bayesian network for probability risk analysis of biomass boiler in renewable energy plant

Nurul Ain Syuhadah, Mohammad Khorri and Nurul Sa'aadah, Sulaiman (2021) Bayesian network for probability risk analysis of biomass boiler in renewable energy plant. In: E3S Web of Conferences. 2021 International Conference on Process Engineering and Advanced Materials, ICPEAM2020 , 13 - 15 July 2021 , Kuching. pp. 1-5., 287 (03008). ISSN 2555-0403 (Published)

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Abstract

The empty fruit bunches have remarkable potential for utilisation as solid fuel boilers in the production of energy. A well operated boiler with higher efficiency is vital for a good power generation plant. However, there are numerous safety and technical issues that may lead to a lower energy production rate. A simple yet complete probabilistic risk analysis is needed to predict those issues to ensure the biomass boiler operates at its maximum efficiency. In this work, a probabilistic risk assessment model for empty fruit bunch boiler using Bayesian network approach was developed. Bayesian network provides a clear probabilistic model of cause-effect relationships of the biomass boiler system. The conditional probability values were elicitated from experts' opinion to identify the most influential factors for efficient biomass boiler operation. A case study from Renewable Energy Plant in Pahang was applied. Prediction analysis and diagnostic analysis were performed and the results show that the most important biomass boiler failure factors are corrosion and overheating. These findings are in agreement with existing literature and expert judgement. Thus, the proposed model is useful in maintaining and helping the decision maker for biomass boiler operation as well as increasing its reliability.

Item Type: Conference or Workshop Item (Lecture)
Additional Information: Indexed by Scopus
Uncontrolled Keywords: Deinking; Waste paper; Recycling
Subjects: Q Science > QD Chemistry
T Technology > T Technology (General)
T Technology > TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
T Technology > TP Chemical technology
Faculty/Division: College of Engineering
Faculty of Chemical and Process Engineering Technology
Depositing User: Mr Muhamad Firdaus Janih@Jaini
Date Deposited: 30 Oct 2024 04:31
Last Modified: 30 Oct 2024 04:31
URI: http://umpir.ump.edu.my/id/eprint/42338
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